The National Emergencies Operation Center (NEOC) has issued a weather advisory forecasting substantial monsoon downpours across Pakistan until July 10, 2025. The heavy precipitation is anticipated due to increased humidity from the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea, coupled with a westerly wave.
The intense rainfall is projected to concentrate in the basins of major rivers, specifically in North-Eastern and Central Punjab, Lower Sindh, Southern and North-Eastern Balochistan, Central Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Azad Jammu and Kashmir, and areas of Gilgit-Baltistan. This weather pattern is expected to cause elevated water levels in significant waterways, including the Kabul, Indus, and Chenab rivers.
Rivers at Tarbela, Kalabagh, and Chashma are presently at low flood stages and could rise further. The Chenab River at Marala and Qadirabad is also predicted to reach low flood levels. The Swat and Panjkora rivers, along with their tributaries and streams, are anticipated to swell. Nullahs originating from the Pir Panjal range in North-Eastern Punjab could also experience significant swelling, potentially causing localized inundation.
The Jhelum River in AJ and K and its tributaries face a flash flood threat, as does the Chitral River and its connected streams. In Gilgit-Baltistan, the Hunza River and its streams may rise quickly. In Southern Balochistan, streams from the Kirthar Range, particularly in Awaran and Khuzdar, along with streams in the districts of Jhal Magsi, Kachi, Sibi, Qila Saifullah, Zhob, and Musakhel, are also projected to expand.
The NDMA strongly advises inhabitants near rivers and streams, including the Indus, Kabul, Chenab, Jhelum, Swat, Panjkora, Chitral, Hunza, Gaj, Zhob, Nari, and the Kachi Plains, to stay alert for sudden water level increases, particularly at night and during heavy downpours. The agency urges the public to avoid crossing causeways, low bridges, and flooded roadways, and to monitor official flood warnings.
Residents should relocate possessions and animals to higher ground, assemble emergency supplies, and plan evacuation paths. Urban officials are instructed to ensure dewatering systems are functional. The NDMA is collaborating with provincial and district administrations to monitor the situation and guarantee public well-being. The agency stresses the importance of public vigilance and adherence to official guidance, recommending use of the Pakistan NDMA Disaster Alert App for updates.

