Sardar Masood Khan, former President of Azad Jammu and Kashmir and veteran diplomat, has warned that even a minor misunderstanding in the highly tense situation in the Strait of Hormuz could spark a widespread regional conflict, with severe repercussions for the global economy.
He said on Sunday that despite escalating tensions between the United States and Iran, delicate diplomatic activities are ongoing, pushing the region into a phase of uncertain pressure. Although the path to a solution is complex, Pakistan’s balanced diplomatic approach offers a viable route towards de-escalation and a lasting agreement.
Mr. Khan, who previously served as Pakistan’s ambassador to the United States, China, and the United Nations, explained that Islamabad continues its nuanced diplomatic efforts despite the escalating tensions between Washington and Tehran. He described the current situation as one of pressure-based diplomacy, where the desire for negotiations is maintained alongside military readiness.
He observed that US policy is based on a dual strategy: simultaneously giving positive signals for dialogue while exerting pressure through military positioning and naval restrictions. He added that the US leadership is striving to synchronize internal domestic pressures, global market stability, and strategic goals. He also highlighted growing public skepticism in the US about the objectives and utility of the long-standing relationship with Iran, even as Iran is also solidifying its position with strong reactions and countermeasures, creating a confrontational regional dynamic.
Reiterating his concern, Mr. Khan described the situation in the Strait of Hormuz as extremely precarious. He recalled that a limited resumption of commercial shipping some time ago had created a glimmer of hope, but recent restrictions and military preparations by both sides have again heightened the delicacy of the situation.
Emphasizing Pakistan’s key role, he stated that the country has undertaken significant diplomatic activities, making joint efforts with important regional states, including Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Egypt, aimed at promoting peace. Despite news of a postponement in the upcoming round of negotiations, he clarified that diplomatic activities are ongoing, and preparations are underway in Islamabad for potential future talks. Pakistan consistently acts as a reliable mediator between Tehran and Washington.
According to Mr. Khan, establishing a foundational framework for progress is indispensable. This framework should include a sustainable ceasefire, clarity regarding the Strait of Hormuz, and stability in other conflict-ridden areas such as Lebanon. He acknowledged deep disagreements between the two countries on matters of nuclear proliferation and regional security, which require continuous diplomatic efforts and confidence-building measures for resolution. Expressing concern over the limited involvement of international bodies, including the United Nations, he said that regional countries like Pakistan are compelled to fill this vacuum. He warned that further escalation of these tensions could lead to widespread economic instability and a geopolitical crisis.
Concluding with cautious optimism, Mr. Khan affirmed that while the path to progress is complex, Pakistan’s consistent and balanced diplomatic efforts can forge an effective route toward de-escalation and a lasting solution.